Journal of Evolutionary Biology
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Evolutionary Biology's content profile, based on 110 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.07% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Shibasaki, S.
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Rapid evolution allows populations to persist in environments where they would otherwise go extinct. This phenomenon, known as evolutionary rescue, is typically studied in the framework of biological evolution, yet adaptive traits can also arise and spread through cultural evolution. The present study developed a stochastic eco-evolutionary model to compare rescue probabilities through biological and cultural evolution. Transmission bias governed the rescue probability under cultural evolution by setting how readily a rare adaptive trait was copied. Conformity bias suppressed population persistence because a rare trait was the least likely to be copied. Content bias toward the adaptive trait enabled evolutionary rescue when social learning was rapid, but it typically yielded a lower rescue probability than biological evolution. Only anticonformity bias, together with a high social learning rate, exceeded the rescue probability of biological evolution by enabling the adaptive trait to be established more rapidly. These results demonstrate that transmission bias alters the demographic consequences of cultural evolution and highlight the importance of transmission processes in evolutionary rescue theory. Understanding how adaptive behaviours are socially transmitted may also improve predictions of animal population persistence and inform conservation efforts in rapidly changing environments.
White, J. R.; Robinson, J. D.; Doremus, M. R.
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Heritable bacterial symbionts are pervasive in terrestrial arthropods, often imposing reproductive manipulations to promote their own spread within host populations. Co-infections are common, potentially allowing symbiont co-infectors to hitchhike through a host population. However, adverse thermal conditions can disrupt these communities, particularly when co-infectors vary in their thermal sensitivity. We used a multi-generation experiment to test whether warm (29 {degrees}C) conditions disrupted spread of heritable symbionts through uninfected populations of the spider, Mermessus fradeorum. We tested two common infection combinations: a single infection with a cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI) inducing Rickettsiella or a feminizing co-infection that included a feminizing Wolbachia, the same Rickettsiella, and up to three apparent hitchhikers (two additional Wolbachia strains and Tisiphia). We initiated replicate populations with 1/3 of one infection type and 2/3 uninfected spiders, evaluating population infection rate over 5 spider generations under different temperature regimes. Under cool (21{degrees}C) conditions, Wolbachia feminization drove co-infection to 88% and Rickettsiella CI drove single infection to 83% of host populations. Vertical transmission for all symbionts was high (97-99%) and hitchhiking symbionts also spread effectively. Under warm conditions, feminization and CI efficacy were reduced, and symbionts suffered variably reduced vertical transmission. Warm conditions ultimately destroyed the co-infecting symbiont consortium and impeded symbiont spread. On its own, though, Rickettsiella was still able to increase, despite reduced strength of CI. We hypothesize that contrasting tensions between feminizing spread of the symbiont consortium versus environmentally driven loss of function and transmission may explain observed patterns of mixed infections in field populations of this spider.
Barajas, C.
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Maintaining a prescribed composition in engineered microbial consortia is difficult because small fitness differences can drive competitive exclusion. We study a two-strain consortium in continuous culture and develop a feedback architecture that regulates composition by selectively slowing the fast strain as a function of the population ratio. At the population level, we derive an idealized ratio-feedback law with a tunable positive coexistence equilibrium. We then propose a biomolecular realization using orthogonal quorum sensing, an sRNA-based ratiometric controller, and a ppGpp-mediated growth actuator. Exploiting the separation between slow population growth and faster intracellular controller dynamics, we use singular perturbation theory to show that, for sufficiently fast controller dynamics, the full implementation model inherits the coexistence equilibrium and its local stability properties from the reduced model. Numerical simulations validate the reduction and show how weaker timescale separation or loss of the assumed molecular regime degrades performance.
Byrne, H. A. M.; Hartley, M. E. H.; Perez, I.; Scotese, C. R.; Lunt, D. J.; Valdes, P. J.; Green, J. A. M.
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The ocean tides influence key Earth system processes at a range of spatial and temporal scales. It is known that the geometry of ocean basins is the leading controller of tidal energetics, so well-constrained palaeogeographic reconstructions and tidal properties for Earths past are imperative when investigating other Earth system processes. Here, we present a novel way to constrain both deep-time tidal model results and reconstructions, by combining palaeoecology with sedimentology. We compare new palaeo-tidal model simulations for the Cambrian period, significant for the early origin and radiation of major animal fauna, to tidal proxies. One of the most abundant soft-bodied organisms preserved during this time are cnidarian medusae (jellyfish). A total of 17 cnidarian medusae localities were obtained through the literature, which had an adequate global distribution and occurred at regular intervals throughout the period of study. In some locations there were also estimates of palaeo-tidal range. Our results show a good agreement between the simulations and proxy data. In the few locations where there is disagreement, it is proposed that the palaeogeographic reconstructions are missing details, e.g., island chains, and our results allow for the palaeogeographic reconstructions to be improved. The proxy method presented is promising and can be applied to other time-periods with different marine fossils, particularly at evolutionary and extinction periods where the marginal marine environment is of importance.
Norekian, T. P.; Moroz, L. L.
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Hydrozoa is a group of relatively simple animals with a well-developed nervous system. The nervous system in all hydrozoan medusae is highly conserved and includes outer and inner nerve rings at the bell margin, a neural network in the manubrium, and radial neural pathways that connect them. However, one element of the nervous system shows substantial variability among species: the subumbrella neural network. We examined the structure of the nervous and muscular systems in the subumbrella of 14 species of hydrozoan medusae. The main conclusion of this study is that the distribution of neural networks in the subumbrella strongly correlates with the distribution of smooth radial muscles. This correlation suggests that smooth radial muscles are the primary target of the subumbrella nervous system. Most species in the order Anthoathecata show a trend toward secondary loss of the neural networks and radial smooth muscle fibers in the subumbrella region, concentrating neural elements and smooth muscles only in the radial pathways along the radial canals. By contrast, all studied species in the order Leptothecata have neural networks in the subumbrella area, as well as radial smooth muscle fibers spread throughout the entire subumbrella region. The correlation between radial smooth muscles and the nervous system is also observed in the radial pathways along the radial canals. All species with thick bundles of smooth radial muscles along the radial canals have clearly defined, dense neural pathways running along or even embedded within the smooth muscle bundles.
Niederbremer, C.; Dal Pesco, F.; Mundry, R.; Neumann, C.; Diakhate, N.; Fischer, J.
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Across different modalities, signals play a core role in attracting mates and influencing mating success. In several non-human primate species, females produce calls during mating that are thought to promote male competition over receptive females. The extent to which social system characteristics modulate the function of copulation calls remains less clear. We studied copulation calls in wild Guinea baboons (Papio papio), who live in a multilevel society structured around units in which females associate and mate almost exclusively with a single male. We hypothesised that females use copulation calls as an indirect form of mate competition, with competition increasing in larger units. In addition, we hypothesised that females are more likely to mate again after calling. We analysed 6116 copulations between 2014 and 2025, involving 99 reproductively active females and 78 subadult and adult males. Females produced copulation calls in 72.7% of copulations, with large inter-individual variation. Neither unit size nor its interaction with the female's swelling size or the presence of simultaneously receptive females affected the probability of calling. A survival analysis with a subset of the data (2353 copulations) revealed no effect of calling on the latency to the next mating. Our results render the hypothesis that female Guinea baboons use calls in indirect mate competition unlikely. Yet, the probability of calling varied with sexual swelling size, suggesting that calls signal female fertility. Possibly, Guinea baboon copulation calls represent an evolutionary remnant, no longer under selective pressure, and can be considered index signals of female fertility.
Gorstein, E.; Tang, M.; Bruzzone, H.; Solis-Lemus, C.
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Standard methods for ancestral sequence reconstruction (ASR) rely on substitution models for the residues in a biological sequence and assume independent evolution across these sites, ignoring the epistatic interactions that shape molecular evolution. In contrast, deep learning models like variational autoencoders (VAEs) can learn low-dimensional representations ("embeddings") of sequences in a protein family that may implicitly handle these dependencies, raising the possibility of performing more accurate ASR by interpolating between extant sequence embeddings within the VAE's latent space. In this study, we test this hypothesis by developing and evaluating a VAE-based ASR pipeline. Benchmarking this approach against established likelihood-based and parsimony methods using various simulations of protein evolution, including scenarios with and without epistasis, we find that the VAE-based approach is consistently and significantly outperformed by standard methods, even in epistatic regimes where it was hypothesized to have an advantage. We further show that this failure is not due to a lack of phylogenetic structure in the latent space, which does contain evolutionary signal. Rather, the primary limitation is the information loss inherent to the autoencoding process: the VAE's decoder cannot generate sequences with sufficient fidelity for the precise demands of ASR.
Aga, O.; Moyo, S.; Ferno, J.; Manyahi, J.; Kibwana, U.; Löhr, I.; Langeland, N.; Blomberg, B.; Johnston, I.
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Infections with bacteria which have evolved multi-drug resistance (MDR) cause millions of deaths worldwide. Large-scale efforts are gathering genotypic and phenotypic data on MDR bacteria, but methods for learning the structure, diversity, and predictors of evolutionary pathways to MDR have yet to take full advantage of these data. Here, we use evolutionary accumulation modelling (EvAM), an emerging class of machine learning methods with roots in cancer progression, to infer these evolutionary pathways across ESKAPEE pathogens (seven bacterial species that dominate health burdens), using a database of over 635k genotyped phenotypic observations from around the world. We identify global patterns in MDR evolutionary pathways, remarkably shared across multiple ESKAPEE species. Species-specific deviations from these stereotypical pathways are connected with geographical and demographic covariates, facilitating predictions of future MDR evolution. We verify these predictions with several hundred new phenotypes from ESKAPEE samples spanning decades of clinical infections in sub-Saharan Africa, demonstrating the capacity to forecast future MDR evolution from these inferred shared pathways.
Robert, T.; Flett, E.; Le Lay, H.; Nicolas, M.; Nityananda, V.
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In vertebrates, top-down visual attention is a cognitive process where internal goals modulate the tuning of peripheral sensory systems. This leads to increased perceived contrast to both goal-relevant objects and areas of the visual field that are attended. Such a system would also be beneficial to bees, enabling them to detect and recognise the most profitable flowers in their environment. We tested whether bumblebees possess a top-down attentional system resembling that seen in vertebrates. We trained two groups of bees to collect rewards under high contrast targets. To potentially induce a difference in attention while searching for the targets, one group received a higher concentration of sucrose rewards compared to the other. During tests, the targets were presented with a series of lower contrasts to measure the contrast sensitivity curves of the bees induced by the different learnt reward levels. We predicted a stronger effect of any attention-like process on contrast sensitivity in the high reward group. We also repeated this experiment with the neonicotinoid pesticide imidacloprid dissolved in the sucrose rewards to test whether this affects bee attention. Across all test contrasts, higher rewards significantly increased bee accuracy when locating targets, lowered contrast thresholds and reduced the latency to make first choices. Imidacloprid reduced bee accuracy but did not influence first choice latency. These results suggest that learnt floral rewards can influence bee behavioural contrast sensitivity in a manner resembling vertebrate top-down attention and that imidacloprid may modulate this through effects on their nervous system.
Baruah, G.; KC, Y. K.
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The shape of density-dependence governs species persistence, and ecosystem stability. Yet, whether per-capita growth declines sublinearily, or superlinearily with density remains hotly debated. Growth rates across the tree of life have been shown to decline sublinearly with density, whereas theory founded on resource competition predicts the opposite. Here, we resolve this discrepancy and show that sublinearity can readily emerge from geometric constraints on consumer interactions. By linking inter individual spacing, movement and interference rates, we derive two limiting-interference regimes, one of which the well-mixed limit recovers the form of classic Beddington DeAngelis interference response. We then developed an individual-based model from first principles which reproduces the derived sublinearity response, and further use empirical data from published consumer-resource experiments that also bears the signature of sublinear density-dependence. Further, embedding the interference mechanisms underlying the emergence of sublinear density-dependence in coexistence theory opens a new regime for species coexistence where classical theory fails to predict. Our framework indicates that non-consumptive interactions are not merely a correction to resource competition but might be a distinct axis along which diverse communities may potentially coexist.
Yutin, N.; Wolf, Y. I.; Krupovic, M.; Koonin, E. V.
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Sicyoidochytrium minutum DNA virus (SmDNAV) was isolated several years ago from a protist host of family Thraustochytriaceae of the class Labyrinthulomycetes. This virus shared little similarity to other viruses in gene content and protein sequences, albeit seemingly belonging to the phylum Nucleocytoviricota. By extensive searches in genomic and metagenomic sequence databases, we identified numerous long contigs related to the SmDNAV genome and analyzed proteins shared by these putative viruses. Phylogenetic analyses place these viruses within the class Megaviricetes, outside of all established orders, and as a sister group to the clade combining families Mamonoviridae and Manesviridae. Homologs of SmDNAV proteins were found in association (either integrated or co-sequenced) with other Labyrinthulomycetes and Rhodophyta protists from diverse marine and freshwater environments. Consequently, we propose SmDNAV as the prototype member of a new order, provisionally named Ariadnavirales, within class Megaviricetes, phylum Nucleocytoviricota. Members of Ariadnavirales have lost most of the genes encoding components of the replication and transcription systems that are otherwise conserved in nucleocytoviricots, suggestive of transition to genome replication and expression dependent on the host nucleus.
van Denderen, P. D.; Andersen, K. H.; Denechere, R.
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Squid abundance has been reported to increase globally between 1970 and 2010. This increase has been hypothesized to result from two primary factors: the loss of top predators due to overfishing and rising ocean temperatures. The decline in apex predators may lead to the expansion of squid populations either through reduced predation pressure or diminished competition with juvenile predators. Concurrently, increased temperatures could enhance the somatic growth rates of squid, thereby accelerating their population growth. However, empirically disentangling the impacts of predator loss and temperature on squid biomass remains challenging, especially in a food-web context. In this study, we used a size- and trait-based model of upper trophic levels that resolves the ecosystem structure -- biomass and trophic interactions of fish and squid -- for varying depth, temperature, and secondary production, to investigate two hypotheses of the historical expansion of squid, i.e., the effects of predator depletion from fishing and rising temperatures on squid biomass. Our model reveals that intensified fishing of squid predators -- specifically large demersal fish in shelf systems and large pelagic fish in open oceans -- leads to a slight increase in squid biomass. Conversely, elevated temperatures are associated with a decline in squid biomass. This temperature-driven reduction in biomass is attributed to an increased metabolism of squids beyond the available food supply. If historic overfishing on large marine predators continues to be curtailed, we expect a corresponding reduction in global squid biomass and fisheries potential, which could be further exacerbated by rising temperatures.
Chan, H. Y.; Li, D.; Yu, A. S. L.; Kellum, J. A.; Fuhrman, D. Y.; Xu, Q.; Chrischilles, E. A.; Cowell, L. G.; Chandaka, S.; Anzalone, A. J.; Kean, J.; McTigue, K. M.; Mosa, A. S. M.; Taylor, B.; Syed, M.; Waitman, L. R.; Hu, Y.; Liu, M.
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Background: Current understanding of acute kidney injury (AKI) risk factors remains largely descriptive, offering limited precision into how specific biomarker values or physiologic thresholds influence susceptibility. We aimed to synthesize knowledge from machine learning models trained across multiple health systems to identify generalizable, value-specific risk drivers and biomarker interactions contributing to AKI risk. Methods: We analyzed electronic health records (EHRs) from 785,497 adult inpatients between 2010 and 2019 across nine U.S. academic medical centers within PCORnet. Interpretable gradient boosting machine models were independently developed at each health system to quantify predictor-outcome associations. Meta-regression was applied to integrate these site-level results, characterize nonlinear value-risk relationships, and identify bivariate interactions between predictors. Results: Meta-analysis revealed consistent, value-specific risk drivers across health systems. An increase in glucose from 100 mg/dL to 140 mg/dL was associated with a 1.46-fold higher risk of AKI. Chloride and anion gap also demonstrated elevated AKI risk with risk increases overlapping portions of their reference ranges, with anion gap showing a 1.14-fold increase across 4-12 mmol/L and chloride a 1.28-fold increase across 96-100 mEq/L. Electrolytes including potassium, calcium, and sodium showed quadratic associations with AKI risk. Bivariate meta-regression identified interactions between key predictors, highlighting pathways that jointly modulate AKI risk. Conclusion: This cross-system meta-analysis synthesizes machine learning-derived evidence into clinically interpretable knowledge, revealing how specific biomarker ranges and interactions modulate AKI risk. By moving beyond surface-level associations to quantitative, generalizable physiologic thresholds, these findings provide actionable insights to enhance risk stratification and personalized prevention in hospital care.
ye, y.; Zeng, Z.; Tian, X.; Yuan, Z.; Wang, J.; Zhu, Y.
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Artificial intelligence applied to routine electrocardiograms (ECGs) has largely focused on detecting existing disease or predicting individual cardiovascular outcomes. Whether ECGs can support prediction of multiple future diseases across organ systems remains unclear. We developed ECG-RISK, a multitask survival model for 67 incident three-character ICD-10 endpoints using ECG waveforms, demographic characteristics and routinely collected laboratory data from 86,673 MIMIC-IV patients. Discrimination was highest for heart, brain, kidney and lung endpoints, with organ-level C-indices ranging from 0.796 to 0.825, whereas liver and pancreatic endpoints showed lower discrimination. The ECG-only model achieved strong discrimination across most endpoints, whereas the incremental improvement gained by incorporating ECG and laboratory inputs beyond demographic information varied substantially across endpoints. Across the nine exploratory aggregated outcomes, Kaplan Meier curves showed clear separation among model-score tertiles. Discrimination was highest for dementia (C-index, 0.891) and heart failure (C-index, 0.857). These findings support the feasibility of ECG-based longitudinal risk prediction across multiple diseases. External validation and competing-risk analyses are required to assess generalisability and clinical utility.
Kremer, P.; Schlicker, N.; Hasnaj, R.; Bamberger, J.; Witte, T.; Haase, I.; Mayr, A.; Schmidt, C.; Osteras, N.; Baraliakos, X.; Kuhn, S.; Krusche, M.; Knitza, J.
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Objectives To evaluate whether access to a certified large language model (LLM)-based clinical decision support system improves physician diagnostic performance in rheumatology compared with conventional diagnostic resources alone. Methods In this multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial, 82 physicians from seven hospitals in two countries were randomised 1:1 to conventional diagnostic resources plus Prof. Valmed or conventional resources alone. Participants assessed three rheumatology vignettes before and after assistance. The primary outcome was top-1 diagnostic accuracy. Secondary outcomes included top-3 accuracy, diagnostic reasoning, confidence, case-processing time and perceived support quality. Results Top-1 accuracy increased from 22.2% to 33.3% in the intervention group and from 23.3% to 35.0% in the control group, with no between-group difference in improvement (adjusted OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.45 to 2.19; p=0.979). Differences in top-3 accuracy, diagnostic reasoning and confidence were also not significant. Assisted case-processing time was substantially shorter with LLM support (94 vs 206 s; adjusted mean difference -112 s, 95% CI -141 to -83; p<0.001). Information timeliness and perceived diagnostic support quality were rated significantly higher in the intervention group. Exploratory analyses showed persistent overconfidence and substantial AI over-reliance. Conclusions Certified LLM-based diagnostic support did not improve diagnostic accuracy compared with conventional resources, but substantially reduced case-processing time and improved perceived support quality. These findings suggest potential workflow benefits while highlighting overconfidence and over-reliance as important safety considerations.
Singh, A. M.; Yeh, T.-C.; DeBoer, C.; Al-Moujahed, A.; Lin, J. B.; Smith, S. J.; Sanislo, S.; Janjua, K. A.; Lin, T.-C.; Almeida, D. R. P.; Mruthyunjaya, P.; Mahajan, V. B.
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Purpose: To evaluate the safety, procedural performance, sample recovery, and surgeon preference of an ophthalmic needle designed specifically for anterior chamber (AC) paracentesis. Methods: In this multicenter study, AC paracentesis was performed in clinic and operating-room settings using a 32-gauge x 4-mm needle with low dead space. The procedure was evaluated using a standardized physician survey. Prespecified outcomes included procedure-related adverse events (primary outcome), needle entry and handling, aspiration and sample recovery, comparative performance versus a 30-gauge needle, and physician preference for future use. Results: A total of 110 needle uses by eight surgeons were included. No ocular complications occurred, including lens or iris injury, hyphema, AC collapse, wound leak, hypotony, infection, or retinal complication, and no procedure required needle exchange or conversion to another device. Two technical events without ocular sequelae were noted, in which needle entry was partial thickness and did not reach the AC (1.8%; exact 95% CI, 0.2%-6.4%). Physicians rated needle entry, handling and sample recovery as good or excellent. Compared with a 30-gauge needle, the study needle was rated as at least comparable across all assessed domains. All surgeons rated it better or much better for intra-procedural safety and preferred it for future AC taps. Conclusions and Relevance: This short, 32-gauge low-dead-space ophthalmic needle demonstrated a favorable safety profile and was preferred over a 30-gauge needle by all surgeons. As aqueous humor liquid biopsy expands in clinical diagnostics and trials, an ophthalmic-specific needle design may help improve the consistency and safety of aqueous humor collection for molecular analysis and broader clinical use. Keywords: Anterior chamber paracentesis; Aqueous humor; Liquid biopsy; Low dead space; Ophthalmic needle
Patil, A.; Barathe, R.; Tate, D. M.; Kate, K.; Pande, S.; Gawande, N.; More, A.; Mahadik, S.; Berde, K.; Singhvi, R.
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Introduction: Polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PMOS), formerly known as polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), is a common endocrine disorder affecting women of reproductive age. Besides reproductive and metabolic disturbances, PMOS negatively impacts psychological well-being and quality of life. Despite available treatment options, there remains a need for safe and effective therapies that improve both clinical symptoms and fertility outcomes. Aim: To compare the efficacy of VAMHA and MYRHA tablet combination therapy with standard non-hormonal therapy in restoring regular menstruation. Secondary objectives included assessment of ovulation, menstrual symptoms, polycystic ovarian morphology, hormonal and metabolic parameters, anthropometric measures, and skin manifestations. Study Design: Open-label, randomized, multicentre, prospective comparative clinical study. Methods: Seventy-one women with PMOS were randomized to Group A (n=37) or Group B (n=34). Group A received VAMHA and MYRHA tablets (2 tablets each), while Group B received Metformin 500 mg plus Myoinositol 600 mg (1 tablet), twice daily for 180 days. Data were recorded in Case Report Forms. Statistical Analysis: Continuous variables were summarized using mean and standard deviation, while categorical variables were expressed as frequencies and percentages. Appropriate statistical tests, including Chi-square, were used. A p-value [≤]0.05 was considered significant. Results: Significantly more participants in Group A achieved regular menstrual cycles than Group B (31 vs. 22; p<0.05). Ovulation occurred in 16 participants in Group A compared with 6 in Group B (p<0.05). Both groups showed significant improvement in menstrual irregularity and related symptoms. Significant reductions in Anti-Mullerian Hormone (AMH), fasting insulin, and body mass index (BMI) were observed in both groups (p<0.05). Resolution of polycystic ovarian morphology occurred in 13 participants (38.23%) in Group A and 10 (33.33%) in Group B. Both treatments were well tolerated with no major safety concerns. Conclusions: VAMHA and MYRHA combination therapy was superior to standard non-hormonal therapy in improving menstrual regularity and ovulation. It also produced favourable metabolic, hormonal, and ultrasonographic outcomes, suggesting its potential as a safe and effective option for comprehensive PMOS management and fertility enhancement.
Pritz, S.; Bordag, N.; Foris, V.; Biasin, V.; Billensteiner, H.; Habisch, H.; Madl, T.; Marsche, G.; Nagaraj, C.; Suessner, S.; Kovacs, G.; Heresi, G.; Bodenhofer, U.; Olschewski, H.; Olschewski, A.
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Rationale: Pulmonary hypertension is defined by pulmonary hemodynamics, but diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers remain limited. Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy provides detailed insights, particularly in the lipid metabolism. Objectives: To explore circulating NMR-derived metabolites and lipoprotein-related parameters for their association with pulmonary hemodynamics and to analyse their prognostic properties in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Methods: Retrospective analysis of a PAH cohort with complete diagnostic workup including right heart catheterization and baseline serum samples, from the prospective GRaz Pulmonary Hypertension-Metabolism (GRAPH-M) registry. Measurements: NMR-derived metabolites and lipoprotein-related parameters were analyzed for their association with clinically relevant parameters of PAH. We defined PHIHDL, a score derived from high-density lipoprotein (HDL) related measures based on their strong association with pulmonary hemodynamics, and evaluated its prognostic value. Results: We included 100 patients with PAH treated at the PH clinic of LKH University Hospital, Medical University of Graz, between 2011 and 2021. Age was 61{+/-}15 years, female/male ratio 2.5, BMI 26 {+/-}7 kg/m2, mPAP 41{+/-}16 mmHg, PAWP 8.8{+/-}3.2 mmHg, PVR 8.0{+/-}4.9 WU, and median survival was 8.0 years. During follow-up, 46 patients died. We identified a cluster of 12 HDL-related measures that showed significant inverse association to pulmonary hemodynamics and derived PHIHDL from the reversed scaled average of these particles. PHIHDL was associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment for age and sex (HR 2.96, 95% CI 1.52-5.70), independent of the clinical risk scores COMPERA 2.0 and REVEAL Lite2. Conclusion: PHIHDL, a pulmonary hemodynamics-based metabolomic score, provides independent prognostic information beyond established risk scores in PAH.
Chatzilena, A.; Hyams, C.; Challen, R.; Lahuerta, M.; McGuinness, S.; Clout, M.; Begier, E.; King, J.; Morales-Aza, B.; Duale, K.; Rodriguez Pereira, A.; Healy, W.; Southern, J.; Wells, P.; Lihou, K.; Grimes, C.; Campling, J. A.; Maskell, N.; Oliver, J.; Vyse, A.; Gessner, B.; Finn, A.; Danon, L.; The AvonCAP Research Group,
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Introduction Acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) is a leading cause of hospitalisation and death, particularly in older adults and adults with comorbidities, with acute lower respiratory tract infection (aLRTI; pneumonia and non-pneumonic LRTI) being a major component. Non-pulmonary complications and functional decline after aLRTI are recognised, but their pathogen-specific burden is poorly described. We aimed to quantify renal, hepatic, thromboembolic and functional complications, and mortality, after aLRTI hospitalisation, by clinical phenotype and pathogen. Methods We conducted a cohort study of adults (>18 years) admitted with aLRTD to two hospitals in Bristol, UK (01 August 2022-31 July 2024). aLRTD was classified as pneumonia, non-pneumonic LRTI (NP-LRTI) or no diagnosis of aLRTI. Pathogens were identified from standard-of-care and research microbiology. Outcomes were acute kidney injury (AKI), acute liver dysfunction, venous thromboembolism (VTE), in-hospital falls, reduced mobility at discharge, increased care requirements, and 30-day and 1-year mortality. Analyses were descriptive. Results Among 246,797 adult admissions, 21,456 aLRTD hospitalisations were included: 10,239 (47.7%) pneumonia, 7,742 (36.1%) NP-LRTI and 3,475 (16.2%) with no evidence of aLRTI. Of 19,152 tested aLRTD admissions, 8,503 (44.4%) had a positive microbiological/virological test, yielding 9,204 pathogen detections; 1,194 (6.2%) had co-infections, and SARS-CoV-2 was most frequent, with influenza the second most common in pneumonia and NP-LRTI. Pneumonia had greater severity than NP-LRTI and no diagnosis of aLRTI (median length of stay 6 vs 4 vs 4 days; ICU admission 3.4% vs 0.7% vs 0.5%, respectively). Overall, 22.2% developed AKI, 6.1% acute liver dysfunction, 0.6% DVT and 2.4% PE; 1.8% had a fall, 11.5% reduced mobility, and 16.6% required increased care at discharge. 30-day and 1-year mortality were highest for pneumonia (14.0% and 32.0%, respectively). Pathogen-specific analyses showed longer stays and higher complications and mortality rates for SARS-CoV-2 and Streptococcus pneumoniae, and shorter stays with lower complication and mortality rates for influenza and Haemophilus influenzae. Conclusions Non-cardiovascular complications and functional decline after aLRTI were common, particularly in pneumonic and SARS-CoV-2 or pneumococcal disease. These findings support routine surveillance for renal, hepatic, thromboembolic events, early mobilisation and rehabilitation, and consideration of multi-system outcomes when evaluating public health and economic value of vaccines and therapies.
Choudhuri, G.; Akhundova-Unadkat, G.; Naidoo, N.; Morales-Castillo, M.; Guillaume, X.; Duijnhoven, R. G.; Safaei, A.; Swain, M. G.
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Background & Aims: Fatigue is a central symptom of chronic liver disease (CLD), substantially impacting health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study aimed to further understand CLD symptomatology, including fatigue, and its impact on HRQoL from a patient perspective. Methods: Abbott Global Assessment of Patients unmet needs (aGAP) was a multinational, cross-sectional survey in adults with compensated CLD in China, India and Mexico, conducted between July and November 2024. Adult participants who self-reported that they had physician-diagnosed CLD and were experiencing fatigue completed a quantitative survey to assess symptom burden and included three HRQoL patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS]-29+2, Work Productivity and Activity Impairment - Specific Health Problem version 2.0 [WPAI: SHP], Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory [MFI]). Results: Overall, 505 participants (China: 200; Mexico: 105; India: 200) completed the study. Participants reported that their CLD-related fatigue sometimes, often or always affected their self-esteem/confidence (45.1%) and ability to maintain or acquire new employment (38.6%). Most participants reported moderate (51.3%) or serious (26.9%) fatigue, with 33.5% experiencing fatigue every day or almost every day. Many participants felt their social life was negatively impacted by their fatigue (47.3%) and that there were related financial difficulties (53.9%). Use of validated PRO tools demonstrated severe fatigue (MFI: overall mean [SD] 13.9 [3.4] general fatigue and 13.4 [3.6] physical fatigue) as well as substantial levels of work and activity impairment (WPAI: SHP overall mean [SD] 53.0 [26.4]) and high levels of anxiety, pain interference, depression and sleep interference (PROMIS T-scores [≥]54). Conclusions: Fatigue has a substantial impact on HRQoL among adults with CLD across several countries, highlighting a global unmet need for targeted interventions to effectively identify and manage the condition.